Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.489836 5.182503 5.946045 6.850142 7.891576 9.053813 10.449708
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.438427 4.315237 5.364072 6.711198 8.396289 10.435782 13.094192
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.859359 3.860669 5.147033 6.920941 9.305542 12.403510 16.740919
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.322676 3.348410 4.753141 6.817711 9.777986 13.875730 19.992614
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.075953 3.175637 4.771333 7.255844 11.032465 16.569078 25.327521
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.841389 2.973694 4.705861 7.548832 12.107089 19.149158 30.895499
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.598562 2.713701 4.504639 7.590335 12.786846 21.211807 35.967990
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.325163 2.356308 4.088827 7.211544 12.715732 22.048160 39.151717
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.217179 2.259989 4.087490 7.523003 13.841760 25.012305 46.369288
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.156654 2.236717 4.205896 8.057105 15.429321 28.983703 55.949268
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.057717 2.125556 4.146658 8.250072 16.407647 31.972647 64.124382
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.961582 2.004222 4.048974 8.350548 17.214549 34.733504 72.236627
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.833293 1.802818 3.774392 8.075293 17.268738 36.103796 77.921486
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.717773 1.609796 3.488358 7.732431 17.130976 37.065669 82.909806
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.658917 1.530049 3.427631 7.862144 18.023489 40.309684 93.332671
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.582912 1.399813 3.238318 7.677602 18.191248 42.008315 100.565769
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.560927 1.391405 3.320267 8.127053 19.879419 47.346523 117.052717
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.530359 1.357528 3.338168 8.427122 21.258889 52.168268 133.054397
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.486618 1.284065 3.250818 8.456075 21.979349 55.522363 145.951547
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.423280 1.150472 2.996211 8.023943 21.471020 55.787616 151.016933
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.405542 1.134326 3.036306 8.363913 23.019850 61.466762 171.190407
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.399965 1.150349 3.162391 8.953338 25.325794 69.441742 198.821503
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.377972 1.117055 3.151759 9.165018 26.625760 74.919223 220.364258